X content is the authors' opinions, unverified. Counts and scores are approximate hand-tags.
Stock sentiment from James’s X feed: Monday, Nov 9, 2026 (evening)
- Source:
- About 200 new public original posts (386 including replies) from 23 of the 26 followed accounts, roughly 4:50 AM to 4:50 PM ET Monday
- Replies and throwaway posts skipped.
- Every stance, level, and number is the author’s opinion or claim, unverified.
- Counts are approximate hand-tags.
- Quiet: @MrTinvests, @RoyLMattox, @EMostaque.
- Heaviest posters: @Mr_Derivatives, @kimmonismus, @TheLongInvest, @ChrisGPT.
Summary
- Overall: mixed, leaning risk-on on price action, with the chart-focused accounts calling it a countertrend rally.
- The authors describe a broad relief rally despite NVDA falling: @KobeissiLetter says the Nasdaq 100 was up about 3.2% while NVDA was down about 6.5%, with US stocks adding about $1.5T
- @Mr_Derivatives posts VIX going 16.50 to 28.50 to 19.50 over three days.
- Caution:
- @markminervini calls it “another snapback rally within a broader downtrend” with few stocks setting up and no follow-through day yet
- @TheProfInvestor says QQQ is still inside last week’s big red candle and below major resistance
- @Mr_Derivatives says QQQ touched its 200-day MA (he puts it near $680) and looked set to close just under it.
- Themes:
- Anthropic released Claude Fable 5.2 and Mythos 5.2, which @ArtificialAnlys ranks #1 on its Intelligence Index at 65
- @kimmonismus relays AWS Bedrock listing them about 20% cheaper than 5.1.
- Bloomberg (via @kimmonismus and @ChrisGPT) says Anthropic could start marketing its IPO as early as Tuesday.
- Data-center policy: Morgan Stanley (via @pequityresearch) calls the midterm reaction an overreaction and expects about 5 GW of US build-out to slip from 2028 to 2029 rather than a derailing.
James’s holdings
NVDA
about 22 mentions, 11 accounts, bullish 8.5 / bearish 4 / neutral 9.5, net +0.20
Bull case (as argued):
- Goldman keeps a $300 target and says buy the dip (relayed by @Mr_Derivatives)
- @ren_stocks is buying “at a deep, deep discount”
- @zephyr_z9 says a $235B buyback can absorb a divorce-related stake sale
- @Mr_Derivatives says NVDA is now cheaper than JPM and XOM (his claim)
- @TheLongInvest expects the NVDA pullback to pay off
- @GavinSBaker says losing Jensen would raise China’s odds in AI
- @babyfolio doubts Jensen leaves.
Bear case (as argued):
- Congressional oversight and possible re-tightened export licenses (@pequityresearch)
- NYT report that a Commerce Dept. chip inquiry was halted after Nvidia intervened (@pequityresearch)
- Likely three straight red months for the first time in five years (@Mr_Derivatives)
- MSFT close to passing NVDA in market cap (@Mr_Derivatives).
Neutral/market color:
- China denies any intelligence involvement, board running an independent probe (@KobeissiLetter)
- Opened about -8% near $170 (@TheLongInvest)
- Current drawdown -27% vs -42% Covid and -43% Liberation Day (@Mr_Derivatives)
- Prediction markets put 16% odds on Jensen not being CEO by year-end, which @Mr_Derivatives thinks is too high
- @GavinSBaker says China itself has been blocking Nvidia GPUs since summer 2025.
Posts:
- @Mr_Derivatives Goldman $300 PT
- @ren_stocks buying the discount
- @KobeissiLetter China denial
- @KobeissiLetter NVDA down, Nasdaq up
- @pequityresearch export-control risk
- @pequityresearch NYT Commerce inquiry
- @zephyr_z9 buyback absorbs stake
- @GavinSBaker China blocking GPUs
- @Mr_Derivatives drawdown table
Levels (author claims):
- $175 lows, asks whether $169.69 is next (@Mr_Derivatives)
- Opened about $170 (@TheLongInvest)
- Goldman $300 target.
James’s own context (not from X):
- After-close check had NVDA 178.57 (-4.3%), still below its Sep 14 low and 200-day SMA.
- Earnings Nov 17.
AMD
6 mentions, 5 accounts, bullish 5.5 / bearish 0 / neutral 0, net +1.0
Bull case:
- Possible winner from the NVDA fallout (@Mr_Derivatives, @TheLongInvest)
- @TheProfInvestor says it’s up 17% since touching its 200-day SMA
- Oppenheimer (via @pequityresearch) sees data-center revenue up 135% YoY by 2027 to about 85% of revenue, helped by the Anthropic partnership.
- @thestockwhale (promo, half weight) lists AMD among his picks.
Posts:
MU / memory
7 mentions, 4 accounts, bullish 4 / bearish 1 / neutral 2, net +0.43
Bull case:
- UBS (via @pequityresearch) puts memory at about $1.019T of top-12 hyperscaler capex in 2027, about 58%
- @TheProfInvestor says the $660 support area held
- @TheLongInvest posts MU from $660 to $734
-
@ren_stocks asks whether the bottom is in and says “sure feels like it.”
-
Bear case: @TheProfInvestor worries big accounts are trapping followers in speculative memory and bottleneck names.
- Neutral:
- @ren_stocks warns of volatility around the Anthropic IPO
- Hana Securities server-DRAM forecast (@pequityresearch).
Posts:
- @pequityresearch UBS memory spend
- @TheProfInvestor $660 support
- @ren_stocks is the bottom in
- @TheProfInvestor trapped in speculative names
Levels (author claims): $660 support, $734 intraday (@TheProfInvestor, @TheLongInvest).
NBIS
7 mentions, 5 accounts, bullish 4 / bearish 1 / neutral 2, net +0.43
Bull case:
- @ren_stocks says he’s “set until 2030” buying at these levels
- @babyfolio backs Rosenblatt that NBIS is the neocloud least hit by the “blue wave,” citing European diversification
-
@aleabitoreddit notes the whole AI trade from LITE to NBIS rallied.
-
Bear case: @TheProfInvestor calls CRWV (Tuesday) and NBIS (Thursday) “highly speculative” names reporting into questions about spending, debt and profitability.
- Neutral:
- Morgan Stanley’s 5 GW slip from 2028 to 2029 (@pequityresearch)
- @ren_stocks’ volatility warning.
Posts:
- @ren_stocks Santa post
- @babyfolio Rosenblatt
- @TheProfInvestor earnings week
- @aleabitoreddit AI trade rally
AMZN
5 mentions, 4 accounts, bullish 2 / bearish 1 / neutral 2, net +0.20
- @TheProfInvestor:
- “Mega breakout… let’s go to new highs.”
- Enterprise AI spend up 100x in three years to $177B in September (@pequityresearch).
- Bearish: @KobeissiLetter’s $4.49T in combined off-balance-sheet AI obligations across big tech.
- Neutral: AWS Bedrock Fable 5.2 pricing (@kimmonismus).
Posts:
MSFT
4 mentions, 3 accounts, bullish 2 / bearish 1 / neutral 1, net +0.25
- Near passing NVDA in market cap (@Mr_Derivatives)
- Enterprise AI spend (@pequityresearch)
- Off-balance-sheet obligations (@KobeissiLetter).
- post
SpaceX (SPCX)
4 mentions, 3 accounts, bullish 2 / neutral 2, net +0.5
- Deutsche Bank (via @pequityresearch) sees a Texas compute slowdown as a benefit for SpaceX, which it says builds capacity faster and cheaper
- @babyfolio says SPCX is hit least by the blue wave
- Anthropic IPO reportedly targeting a SpaceX-size debut (@ChrisGPT).
- post
QQQ / broad market
about 20 mentions, 5 accounts, bullish 5 / bearish 5 / neutral 10, net 0.0
- Bull:
- S&P +100 points, +$1T then +$1.5T (@KobeissiLetter)
- QQQ +4% off premarket lows (@Mr_Derivatives)
- 4 green stocks per red (@TheProfInvestor).
- Bear:
- Countertrend rally, no follow-through day (@markminervini)
- Still inside the big red candle, needs about 5 green days (@TheProfInvestor)
- “black swan” every ~9 years (@Mr_Derivatives).
Posts:
- @markminervini snapback rally
- @Mr_Derivatives 200dma
- @TheProfInvestor inside candle
- @KobeissiLetter +$1.5T
Levels (author claims):
- QQQ 200-day MA near $680 (@Mr_Derivatives)
- Overnight low $648 (@Mr_Derivatives)
- VIX 19 to 21 (@Mr_Derivatives).
James’s own context (not from X): after-close check had QQQ 678.77, still below 700 and its weekly 21 EMA of 704.49, so buys stay paused.
GOOG / GOOGL
about 8 mentions, 5 accounts, bullish 4 / bearish 2 / neutral 2, net +0.25
- Bull:
- Leaks about a “Krypton” model (@kimmonismus)
- New TPU 8tx and 8i Max systems (@kimmonismus)
- “great company at a discount” (@TheProfInvestor).
- Bear:
- Fable 5.2 now ahead of Gemini 4 Carbon on Artificial Analysis’s index (@ArtificialAnlys) and Google’s slow release timing (@kimmonismus).
- TPU post
INTC
2 mentions, neutral (promo and past-call lists from @thestockwhale and @TheLongInvest).
TSM, ASML, DDOG, CRWD, BE, CRDO: no new mentions.
James’s own context (not from X):
- TSMC October revenue is due tomorrow
- TSM and ASML weekly exits were confirmed Friday.
Other tickers and themes
Anthropic / AI software (about 30 mentions)
- Fable 5.2 and Mythos 5.2 launch, #1 on AA index at 65 (@ArtificialAnlys)
- 20% cheaper and 30% faster per Anthropic (@kimmonismus)
- @Yuchenj_UW says DeepSeek is 44x cheaper per task
- IPO marketing could begin Tuesday, $1.1T to $1.3T valuation discussed (@kimmonismus)
- @zephyr_z9 says price cuts come from efficiency, not margin sacrifice.
Data-center buildout and policy
- Morgan Stanley sees a 2028-to-2029 push-out, not a derailing (@pequityresearch)
- KB Securities expects conditional regulation such as reduced DC tax benefits rather than blanket bans
- Bloomington, IN voted 7-0 to ban “artificial superintelligence” (@NoLimitGains).
LITE / SNDK / optics-memory
LITE from $498 to $616.66 (@Mr_Derivatives); @ren_stocks very bullish SNDK.
CRWV: reports Tuesday; called speculative by @TheProfInvestor.
HIMS / ZETA / ASTS
@TheLongInvest bullish on all three; @Mr_Derivatives notes HIMS at $20.63 after hours.
Macro
- WTI -3.5%, oil under $90 (@KobeissiLetter)
- Copper miners ETF COPX down 11 straight weeks, a record (@KobeissiLetter)
- Trump questioned midterm integrity (@KobeissiLetter)
- Recession odds near 0% on prediction markets (@NoLimitGains).
Method
- Original posts since the 5:10 AM report
- Net = (bull - bear) / total
- Promo accounts (@thestockwhale, @NoLimitGains plugs, newsletter teasers) half weight
- Duplicate posts counted once.