Published Monday, Nov 9, 2026, 5:11 AM ET
X content below is the authors' opinions, unverified.
Open the full stock sentiment report
Digest summary
- This morning’s X is mixed.
- The Jensen Huang story weighs on NVDA, but the broad market is shrugging it off.
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There were 86 new posts from 17 accounts, and every view below is the author’s, not verified.
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Futures and NVDA:
- Nvidia’s board:
- Bear side:
- Taiwan and semis:
- @aleabitoreddit says TAIEX rose 4.94%, its second-biggest daily gain, with AI names near limit-up.
- @TheLongInvest says semis are still above their 200-week MA but have “a bit to go” lower.
- Buildout:
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Other:
- @ren_stocks is bullish on NBIS’s sovereign deals (“first Korea, now the UK”).
- Trump said he threatened an unnamed AI-company leader with jail.
- @kimmonismus guesses it’s Anthropic’s CEO, and @pequityresearch doubts the story.
- @KobeissiLetter reports M2 money supply up 5.7% from a year earlier, to a record.
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In the stock tally, NVDA had about 24 mentions from 13 accounts and scored net −0.08, a near-even split with bears slightly ahead.
- TSM, ASML, AMD and NBIS each got one bullish mention.
- MU was neutral, and SMH got one bearish technical read.
- AMZN, MSFT, DDOG, CRWD, BE, CRDO and INTC weren’t mentioned.
Full stock sentiment report
Stock sentiment from James’s X feed: Monday, Nov 9, 2026 (morning)
- Source:
- 86 new public original posts from the followed accounts (roughly 4:50 PM Sunday to 5:05 AM Monday ET; replies and throwaway posts skipped).
- Every stance, level, and number is the author’s opinion or claim, unverified.
- Counts are approximate hand-tags.
- Quiet: @MrTinvests, @markminervini, @thestockwhale, @RoyLMattox, @EMostaque, @ChrisCamillo, @babyfolio, @poteto, @alexwg.
Summary
- Overall: mixed, still dominated by the Jensen Huang headline, leaning risk-off for NVDA but not for the broad market.
- Per @KobeissiLetter, Nasdaq 100 futures fell over 1% at Sunday’s 6 PM open, then erased the loss and turned green within about 7 minutes
- By premarket NVDA was down over 5% (about $225B in market cap, per @KobeissiLetter), while @Mr_Derivatives posted QQQ +1% overnight.
- @aleabitoreddit says TAIEX rose 4.94%, its 2nd largest daily gain, with Taiwan AI names near limit-up.
- Bear side:
- @jukan05 sees a real chance Jensen steps down or is distracted
- @zephyr_z9 expects pressure for a return of the Biden-era AI diffusion rule and says about 20% of demand ties to China (his estimate)
- @pequityresearch relays an expert call saying Vera Rubin output slipped to Q1 2027.
- Bull side:
- @GavinSBaker relays the Nvidia board saying it found “no reason to believe” national security or Nvidia secrets were compromised, with an independent-director investigation under way
- Bernstein (via @pequityresearch) doesn’t expect demand to change materially
- @aleabitoreddit and @Mr_Derivatives back NVDA.
- Themes:
- @KobeissiLetter says US data center construction spending hit a record $96.5B annualized in September, +90% YoY
- @jukan05 relays Nikkei that Musk’s Terafab targets 1M wafers per month from 2032 (700K for memory).
- Macro (per @KobeissiLetter):
- M2 +5.7% YoY to a record $23.41T
- Trucking bankruptcies on pace for a 23-year high.
- Trump said his administration threatened an unnamed AI-company leader with jail (@KobeissiLetter, @kimmonismus guesses Anthropic’s CEO; @pequityresearch doubts the story).
James’s holdings
NVDA: about 24 mentions, 13 accounts, bullish 5 / bearish 7 / neutral 12, net -0.08
Bull case (as argued):
- Board says no security or secrets compromise found, independent probe started (@GavinSBaker)
- CEO’s personal life won’t change GPU demand (Bernstein via @pequityresearch)
- Support Jensen through it (@aleabitoreddit)
- Most people won’t care, it could close green (@Mr_Derivatives).
Bear case (as argued):
- Resignation or distraction risk (@jukan05)
- Export-rule backlash, China’s ~20% share and spot-market hit (@zephyr_z9)
- Vera Rubin delayed to Q1 2027 per an OEM expert (@pequityresearch)
- A Taiwanese analyst’s view (relayed by @jukan05) that the US is using the scandal for strategic aims
- @great_martis claims he called the drop.
Neutral/market color:
- Premarket -5% and -$225B (@KobeissiLetter)
- -3% overnight and now -4% YTD (@Mr_Derivatives)
- “market valuing the affair at -$180B” and no change to his chart (@TheLongInvest)
- Trump says Huang is “a fine person” and he’d take him to Asia (@pequityresearch).
Posts:
Levels (author claims): gap-fill target $177.69, which he says would nearly round-trip the March-to-October gain (@Mr_Derivatives, post).
Dates cited (author claims): Nov 17 earnings, Nov 18 congressional briefing, Dec 1 GTC keynote (@Mr_Derivatives).
TSM / Taiwan: 1 mention, bullish 1 (+1.0)
@aleabitoreddit:
- TAIEX +4.94%, Taiwan AI names near limit-up.
- post
ASML: 1 mention, bullish 1 (+1.0)
@jukan05:
- Nanya and reportedly Winbond want EUV scanners after memory-cycle profits.
- post
MU / memory: 4 mentions, 2 accounts, neutral 4 (0.0)
- Terafab’s 700K memory wafers/month target from 2032 (@jukan05, @pequityresearch call it roughly Samsung’s current DRAM output from one plant)
- New Taiwan DRAM capacity plans (@jukan05)
- UBS says ~55% of AI/DC memory spend goes to DDR in 2026 (@pequityresearch).
- Terafab · UBS
AMD: 1 mention, bullish 1 (+1.0)
@Mr_Derivatives:
- Bullish AMD if the NVDA fallout gets worse.
- post
NBIS: 1 mention, bullish 1 (+1.0)
@ren_stocks:
- Sovereign AI deals, “first Korea, now the UK.”
- post
GOOG / GOOGL: 2 mentions, bullish 1 / neutral 1 (+0.5)
@TheLongInvest on DeepMind’s value ($650M purchase vs his $200B to $800B range). post
SMH / semis broadly: 1 mention, bearish 1 (-1.0)
@TheLongInvest:
- Semis still above their 200-week MA, “technically still a bit to go” lower.
- post
QQQ / broad market: 3 mentions, neutral
- Futures whipsaw (@KobeissiLetter)
- QQQ +1% overnight (@Mr_Derivatives).
- post
AMZN, MSFT, DDOG, CRWD, BE, CRDO, INTC, SpaceX: no new mentions.
Other tickers and themes
Data center buildout
record construction spending, +90% YoY (@KobeissiLetter). post
LRCX
- Korean media say Lam’s Korean unit allegedly leaked Samsung etch tech
- @jukan05 relays possible ~₩1T damages.
- post
AI software / policy
- Trump’s jail-threat comment about an AI-company leader (@KobeissiLetter, @kimmonismus)
- Morgan Stanley says 44% of S&P 500 firms cited a measurable AI benefit (@pequityresearch).
- post
Method
- Original posts since the 4:50 PM Sunday report
- Net = (bull - bear) / total
- Promo accounts (@great_martis, newsletter plugs) half weight.
Published Monday, Nov 9, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
No after-close message was sent this day (no level closed through). This short entry is from the after-close log.
- Closes are last regular-session prints (~3:59:59 PM ET)
- The Nov 9 daily bar was not yet posted.
- Levels were through Nov 6.
- The levels dashboard was updated.
- No level closed through.
- QQQ 678.77 (+3.45% vs 656.10) still below its 200-day SMA of 680.89 (−0.31%) and below the 700 floor / weekly 21 EMA of 704.49, so new buys stay paused.
- Weekly-close exits (Friday decides):
- TSM 388.52 still below 390 (−0.38%)
- ASML 1513.40 was above 1500 on the daily print (+0.89%), Monday only.
- AMZN held above 235.
- DDOG 179.61 remained well below 243.15.
- No new 200-day SMA crosses.
- Names already below were unchanged on that point:
- Including QQQ
- MU
- NVDA
- BE
- NBIS
- CRDO
- MRVL
- INTC
- GOOG
- SMH
- TSM
- ASML
- DDOG
- Still above:
- AMD 509.02
- AMZN 267.00
- MSFT 545.17
- CRWD 228.45
- Dated lows:
- NVDA 178.57 (−4.32% vs 186.64) still below the Sep 14 low of 208.93 (already flagged pre-market).
- TSM still above the Jul 29 low of 372.72.
- GOOG still below its Sep 9 / Jul 23 lows.
- SMH still below its Sep 14 low.
Published Monday, Nov 9, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
X content below is the authors' opinions, unverified.
Open the full stock sentiment report
Digest summary
Nearly everyone agrees the tape shrugged off the Jensen news. They split on whether this is a bottom or a bear-market bounce.
- In the stock tally, NVDA improved to +0.20 from −0.08 this morning.
- AMD was the most bullish at +1.0, and MU and NBIS were both +0.43.
- AMZN
- MSFT and GOOG leaned slightly positive
- QQQ was split at 0.0
- TSM, ASML, DDOG, CRWD, BE and CRDO had no mentions.
Full stock sentiment report
Stock sentiment from James’s X feed: Monday, Nov 9, 2026 (evening)
- Source:
- About 200 new public original posts (386 including replies) from 23 of the 26 followed accounts, roughly 4:50 AM to 4:50 PM ET Monday
- Replies and throwaway posts skipped.
- Every stance, level, and number is the author’s opinion or claim, unverified.
- Counts are approximate hand-tags.
- Quiet: @MrTinvests, @RoyLMattox, @EMostaque.
- Heaviest posters: @Mr_Derivatives, @kimmonismus, @TheLongInvest, @ChrisGPT.
Summary
- Overall: mixed, leaning risk-on on price action, with the chart-focused accounts calling it a countertrend rally.
- The authors describe a broad relief rally despite NVDA falling: @KobeissiLetter says the Nasdaq 100 was up about 3.2% while NVDA was down about 6.5%, with US stocks adding about $1.5T
- @Mr_Derivatives posts VIX going 16.50 to 28.50 to 19.50 over three days.
- Caution:
- @markminervini calls it “another snapback rally within a broader downtrend” with few stocks setting up and no follow-through day yet
- @TheProfInvestor says QQQ is still inside last week’s big red candle and below major resistance
- @Mr_Derivatives says QQQ touched its 200-day MA (he puts it near $680) and looked set to close just under it.
- Themes:
- Anthropic released Claude Fable 5.2 and Mythos 5.2, which @ArtificialAnlys ranks #1 on its Intelligence Index at 65
- @kimmonismus relays AWS Bedrock listing them about 20% cheaper than 5.1.
- Bloomberg (via @kimmonismus and @ChrisGPT) says Anthropic could start marketing its IPO as early as Tuesday.
- Data-center policy: Morgan Stanley (via @pequityresearch) calls the midterm reaction an overreaction and expects about 5 GW of US build-out to slip from 2028 to 2029 rather than a derailing.
James’s holdings
NVDA: about 22 mentions, 11 accounts, bullish 8.5 / bearish 4 / neutral 9.5, net +0.20
Bull case (as argued):
- Goldman keeps a $300 target and says buy the dip (relayed by @Mr_Derivatives)
- @ren_stocks is buying “at a deep, deep discount”
- @zephyr_z9 says a $235B buyback can absorb a divorce-related stake sale
- @Mr_Derivatives says NVDA is now cheaper than JPM and XOM (his claim)
- @TheLongInvest expects the NVDA pullback to pay off
- @GavinSBaker says losing Jensen would raise China’s odds in AI
- @babyfolio doubts Jensen leaves.
Bear case (as argued):
- Congressional oversight and possible re-tightened export licenses (@pequityresearch)
- NYT report that a Commerce Dept. chip inquiry was halted after Nvidia intervened (@pequityresearch)
- Likely three straight red months for the first time in five years (@Mr_Derivatives)
- MSFT close to passing NVDA in market cap (@Mr_Derivatives).
Neutral/market color:
- China denies any intelligence involvement, board running an independent probe (@KobeissiLetter)
- Opened about -8% near $170 (@TheLongInvest)
- Current drawdown -27% vs -42% Covid and -43% Liberation Day (@Mr_Derivatives)
- Prediction markets put 16% odds on Jensen not being CEO by year-end, which @Mr_Derivatives thinks is too high
- @GavinSBaker says China itself has been blocking Nvidia GPUs since summer 2025.
Posts:
Levels (author claims):
- $175 lows, asks whether $169.69 is next (@Mr_Derivatives)
- Opened about $170 (@TheLongInvest)
- Goldman $300 target.
James’s own context (not from X):
- After-close check had NVDA 178.57 (-4.3%), still below its Sep 14 low and 200-day SMA.
- Earnings Nov 17.
AMD: 6 mentions, 5 accounts, bullish 5.5 / bearish 0 / neutral 0, net +1.0
Bull case:
- Possible winner from the NVDA fallout (@Mr_Derivatives, @TheLongInvest)
- @TheProfInvestor says it’s up 17% since touching its 200-day SMA
- Oppenheimer (via @pequityresearch) sees data-center revenue up 135% YoY by 2027 to about 85% of revenue, helped by the Anthropic partnership.
- @thestockwhale (promo, half weight) lists AMD among his picks.
Posts:
MU / memory: 7 mentions, 4 accounts, bullish 4 / bearish 1 / neutral 2, net +0.43
Bull case:
Posts:
Levels (author claims): $660 support, $734 intraday (@TheProfInvestor, @TheLongInvest).
NBIS: 7 mentions, 5 accounts, bullish 4 / bearish 1 / neutral 2, net +0.43
Bull case:
- @ren_stocks says he’s “set until 2030” buying at these levels
- @babyfolio backs Rosenblatt that NBIS is the neocloud least hit by the “blue wave,” citing European diversification
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@aleabitoreddit notes the whole AI trade from LITE to NBIS rallied.
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Bear case: @TheProfInvestor calls CRWV (Tuesday) and NBIS (Thursday) “highly speculative” names reporting into questions about spending, debt and profitability.
- Neutral:
- Morgan Stanley’s 5 GW slip from 2028 to 2029 (@pequityresearch)
- @ren_stocks’ volatility warning.
Posts:
AMZN: 5 mentions, 4 accounts, bullish 2 / bearish 1 / neutral 2, net +0.20
- @TheProfInvestor:
- “Mega breakout… let’s go to new highs.”
- Enterprise AI spend up 100x in three years to $177B in September (@pequityresearch).
- Bearish: @KobeissiLetter’s $4.49T in combined off-balance-sheet AI obligations across big tech.
- Neutral: AWS Bedrock Fable 5.2 pricing (@kimmonismus).
Posts:
MSFT: 4 mentions, 3 accounts, bullish 2 / bearish 1 / neutral 1, net +0.25
- Near passing NVDA in market cap (@Mr_Derivatives)
- Enterprise AI spend (@pequityresearch)
- Off-balance-sheet obligations (@KobeissiLetter).
- post
SpaceX (SPCX): 4 mentions, 3 accounts, bullish 2 / neutral 2, net +0.5
- Deutsche Bank (via @pequityresearch) sees a Texas compute slowdown as a benefit for SpaceX, which it says builds capacity faster and cheaper
- @babyfolio says SPCX is hit least by the blue wave
- Anthropic IPO reportedly targeting a SpaceX-size debut (@ChrisGPT).
- post
QQQ / broad market: about 20 mentions, 5 accounts, bullish 5 / bearish 5 / neutral 10, net 0.0
- Bull:
- S&P +100 points, +$1T then +$1.5T (@KobeissiLetter)
- QQQ +4% off premarket lows (@Mr_Derivatives)
- 4 green stocks per red (@TheProfInvestor).
- Bear:
- Countertrend rally, no follow-through day (@markminervini)
- Still inside the big red candle, needs about 5 green days (@TheProfInvestor)
- “black swan” every ~9 years (@Mr_Derivatives).
Posts:
Levels (author claims):
- QQQ 200-day MA near $680 (@Mr_Derivatives)
- Overnight low $648 (@Mr_Derivatives)
- VIX 19 to 21 (@Mr_Derivatives).
James’s own context (not from X): after-close check had QQQ 678.77, still below 700 and its weekly 21 EMA of 704.49, so buys stay paused.
GOOG / GOOGL: about 8 mentions, 5 accounts, bullish 4 / bearish 2 / neutral 2, net +0.25
- Bull:
- Leaks about a “Krypton” model (@kimmonismus)
- New TPU 8tx and 8i Max systems (@kimmonismus)
- “great company at a discount” (@TheProfInvestor).
- Bear:
- Fable 5.2 now ahead of Gemini 4 Carbon on Artificial Analysis’s index (@ArtificialAnlys) and Google’s slow release timing (@kimmonismus).
- TPU post
INTC: 2 mentions, neutral (promo and past-call lists from @thestockwhale and @TheLongInvest).
TSM, ASML, DDOG, CRWD, BE, CRDO: no new mentions.
James’s own context (not from X):
- TSMC October revenue is due tomorrow
- TSM and ASML weekly exits were confirmed Friday.
Other tickers and themes
Anthropic / AI software (about 30 mentions)
- Fable 5.2 and Mythos 5.2 launch, #1 on AA index at 65 (@ArtificialAnlys)
- 20% cheaper and 30% faster per Anthropic (@kimmonismus)
- @Yuchenj_UW says DeepSeek is 44x cheaper per task
- IPO marketing could begin Tuesday, $1.1T to $1.3T valuation discussed (@kimmonismus)
- @zephyr_z9 says price cuts come from efficiency, not margin sacrifice.
Data-center buildout and policy
- Morgan Stanley sees a 2028-to-2029 push-out, not a derailing (@pequityresearch)
- KB Securities expects conditional regulation such as reduced DC tax benefits rather than blanket bans
- Bloomington, IN voted 7-0 to ban “artificial superintelligence” (@NoLimitGains).
LITE / SNDK / optics-memory
LITE from $498 to $616.66 (@Mr_Derivatives); @ren_stocks very bullish SNDK.
CRWV: reports Tuesday; called speculative by @TheProfInvestor.
HIMS / ZETA / ASTS
@TheLongInvest bullish on all three; @Mr_Derivatives notes HIMS at $20.63 after hours.
Macro
- WTI -3.5%, oil under $90 (@KobeissiLetter)
- Copper miners ETF COPX down 11 straight weeks, a record (@KobeissiLetter)
- Trump questioned midterm integrity (@KobeissiLetter)
- Recession odds near 0% on prediction markets (@NoLimitGains).
Method
- Original posts since the 5:10 AM report
- Net = (bull - bear) / total
- Promo accounts (@thestockwhale, @NoLimitGains plugs, newsletter teasers) half weight
- Duplicate posts counted once.