Morning X digest — Tuesday, Nov 10, 2026
X content below is the authors' opinions, unverified.
Open the full stock sentiment report
Digest summary
This morning’s X is mixed:
- The accounts read the broad market as constructive, but the overnight NVDA news is negative.
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There were about 70 new posts from 18 accounts since last evening, and every view and number below is the author’s, not verified.
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Constructive:
- @TheProfInvestor calls QQQ’s action a “failed breakdown”, and @Mr_Derivatives says the VIX fell faster than he expected.
- @KobeissiLetter says oil dropped below $85, about 19% off its Oct 30 high, after Trump suggested more Iran strikes aren’t needed.
- He also says the SOX semiconductor index went from overbought to oversold, sitting about 17% below its 200-day MA last Thursday.
- Cautious:
- @markminervini says over a third of S&P 500 stocks are down more than 20%, with many AI-infrastructure names down 50% or more.
- He lists MU at −41%.
- NVDA bears:
- @KobeissiLetter reports a shareholder class action against Nvidia and Jensen Huang over the spy-tie story.
- @jukan05 relays The Information saying Nvidia’s lobbying on remote-access chip rules now carries less weight, and that the White House reportedly asked Congress for a provision blocking remote access to certain chips.
- He also relays a Taiwanese media report that Nvidia may cut TSMC orders, with AMD and custom-chip makers possibly taking that capacity, and he says it’s unconfirmed.
- NVDA bulls: @pequityresearch relays Trump saying he believes Jensen, and @ren_stocks says he’d buy hard at $165.
- TSM:
- @jukan05 posts October revenue of NT$586.9B, up 14.7% from September and 59.7% from a year earlier, and @pequityresearch calls it a strong month.
- Your verified TSMC summary comes at 9 AM.
- Memory: Morgan Stanley, via @pequityresearch, says memory’s risk/reward looks very favorable even with land, power and building-shell risks.
- Power and neoclouds:
- @ren_stocks says the Senate voted 73–25 to advance the permitting bill.
- That was a procedural vote, with the final vote and the House still ahead, so it isn’t enacted.
- Under the bill, data centers would pay for their own grid upgrades in exchange for faster reviews.
- @babyfolio points to NBIS earnings on Nov 12, and @TheProfInvestor likes CRWV’s setup going into its report today.
- SpaceX: GFHK expects about 5 GW of space compute by 2028. @pequityresearch reacted with “Wow,” and @jukan05 is skeptical.
- AI software:
- Anthropic’s Fable 5.2 dominated the AI accounts.
- It’s first on Artificial Analysis’s 3D benchmark, and @babyfolio calls the lower Anthropic IPO valuation sensible.
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Macro: @KobeissiLetter says this week’s October CPI won’t include year-over-year numbers because of data missing from the October 2025 shutdown.
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In the stock tally:
- NVDA was net −0.22 across 6 accounts
- TSM +0.25
- NBIS +1.0 and MU flat
- AMD was +0.5 as a possible winner if TSMC wafers shift.
- ASML, DDOG, CRWD, BE and CRDO had no mentions.
Full stock sentiment report
Stock sentiment from James’s X feed: Tuesday, Nov 10, 2026 (morning)
- Source:
- About 70 new public original posts (no replies or retweets; a duplicate and throwaway posts skipped) from 18 of the 26 followed accounts, roughly 4:50 PM Monday to 5:10 AM Tuesday ET.
- Every stance, level, and number is the author’s opinion or claim, unverified.
- Counts are approximate hand-tags.
- Quiet: @poteto, @MrTinvests, @Yuchenj_UW, @RoyLMattox, @GavinSBaker, @EMostaque, @zephyr_z9, @ChrisCamillo.
- Heaviest posters: @pequityresearch, @ChrisGPT, @jukan05, @KobeissiLetter.
Summary
- **Overall: mixed.
- Broad tone constructive overnight, but NVDA-specific news is negative.**
- Constructive:
- @TheProfInvestor calls the QQQ action a “failed breakdown,” which he calls the most underrated setup
- @Mr_Derivatives says the VIX drop came faster than he expected
- @KobeissiLetter says US oil fell below $85, down about 19% from the Oct 30 high, after Trump suggested more Iran strikes aren’t needed
- @KobeissiLetter says the SOX went from overbought to oversold, about 17% under its 200-day MA last Thursday.
- Cautious: @markminervini says over a third of S&P 500 stocks fell more than 20% and many AI-infrastructure names fell 50% or more (he cites MU down 41%).
NVDA overnight:
- @KobeissiLetter reports a shareholder class action against Nvidia and Jensen Huang over the spy-tie story
- @jukan05 relays The Information that Nvidia’s lobbying against remote-access chip rules now carries less weight and that the White House itself reportedly asked Congress for a provision blocking remote access to certain chips
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@jukan05 also relays a Taiwanese media report that Nvidia may cut TSMC orders, with AMD and ASIC makers possibly picking up the wafers (he says he’s heard similar rumors but hasn’t confirmed them).
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Other themes:
- @jukan05 posts TSMC October revenue at NT$586.9B (+14.7% MoM, +59.7% YoY), and @pequityresearch calls it “good and strong.”
- Morgan Stanley (via @pequityresearch) says memory risk/reward looks very favorable even with land/power/shell risks.
- @ren_stocks says the Senate voted 73-25 to advance the permitting bill (procedural; final vote and House still to come), with data centers paying for their own grid upgrades in exchange for faster reviews.
- Anthropic’s Fable 5.2 keeps dominating the AI accounts.
- Macro: @KobeissiLetter says this week’s October CPI will not include year-over-year numbers because of missing October 2025 shutdown data.
James’s holdings
NVDA: about 11 mentions, 6 accounts, bullish 2 / bearish 4.5 / neutral 5, net -0.22
Bull case (as argued):
- @pequityresearch relays Trump saying he spoke with Jensen and “really believes him” that he didn’t know the woman was a spy
- @ren_stocks says if NVDA reaches $165 he’d “remortgage my house just for a quick trade.”
Bear case (as argued):
- Shareholder class action over concealed ties (@KobeissiLetter)
- Nvidia’s lobbying against remote-access restrictions losing weight and the White House reportedly asking for a remote-access provision (@jukan05)
- Rumored TSMC order cut (@jukan05, unconfirmed)
- @NoLimitGains (promo, half weight) says Google selling in-house AI chips to Apple, Meta and Oracle is a bigger threat than AMD.
Neutral:
- @pequityresearch guesses any order cut might be tied to China-bound chips and notes demand for TSMC capacity would stay the same
- Hyperscaler CDS premiums rising (@pequityresearch)
- GF Securities says some customers are shifting optical-module buys to Nvidia-bundled solutions (@pequityresearch)
- @great_martis notes earnings next Tuesday.
Posts:
- @KobeissiLetter class action
- @jukan05 lobbying weight
- @jukan05 White House remote-access provision
- @jukan05 TSMC order-cut rumor
- @pequityresearch order-cut take
- @pequityresearch Trump believes Jensen
- @ren_stocks $165 quick trade
- @NoLimitGains Google chips threat
Levels (author claims): $165 as a buy level (@ren_stocks).
James’s own context (not from X):
- After-close check had NVDA 178.57, still below its Sep 14 low and 200-day SMA.
- Earnings Nov 17.
TSM: 4 mentions, 2 accounts, bullish 1 / bearish 0 / neutral 3, net +0.25
- October revenue NT$586.9B, +14.7% MoM, +59.7% YoY as posted by @jukan05
- “good and strong October” (@pequityresearch).
- Neutral:
- The rumored Nvidia order cut, framed as capacity shifting to AMD and ASICs rather than lost
- @jukan05 says Rapidus looks behind schedule.
Posts:
James’s own context (not from X):
- The TSMC October revenue summary runs at 9 AM today
- TSM 388.52 at Monday’s check, still below the 390 weekly exit.
MU / memory: 3 mentions, 3 accounts, bullish 1 / bearish 1 / neutral 1, net 0.0
- Bull: Morgan Stanley says memory multiple compression offers compelling upside relative to land/power/shell risks (@pequityresearch).
- Bear: @markminervini lists MU down 41% among the damaged AI-infra names.
- Neutral: Samsung targeting its 3D Cube-H hybrid bonding by early next year (@jukan05).
Posts:
NBIS: 2 mentions, 2 accounts, bullish 2, net +1.0
- @ren_stocks frames the Senate permitting vote as an NBIS positive
- @babyfolio says he bullposted NBIS at the lows and points to earnings on Nov 12.
- Peer: @TheProfInvestor calls CRWV attractive after heavy selling, with earnings today as a possible catalyst (no position, doesn’t play earnings).
Posts:
AMD: 2 mentions, 2 accounts, bullish 1 / neutral 1, net +0.5
Possible beneficiary if Nvidia cuts TSMC orders (@jukan05; @pequityresearch neutral on it).
SpaceX (SPCX): 3 mentions, 2 accounts, bullish 1 / neutral 2, net +0.33
GFHK expects about 5 GW of space compute by 2028 via about 10k racks: @pequityresearch says “Wow,” @jukan05 is skeptical (“5 GW of data center capacity in space?? By 2028?”). Also on the hyperscaler CDS list.
Posts:
GOOGL: 3 mentions, 3 accounts, bullish 2 / neutral 1, net +0.6
- Google selling in-house AI chips (@NoLimitGains, promo half weight)
- @kimmonismus expects Gemini 4 Carbon general availability
- CDS list.
- post
AMZN / MSFT: 2 mentions each, neutral
- Hyperscaler CDS premiums rising (@pequityresearch CDS)
- Menlo Ventures estimates Anthropic and OpenAI are 25%+ of AWS, Azure and Google Cloud revenue (@pequityresearch Menlo).
QQQ / broad market: about 9 mentions, 6 accounts, bullish 2 / bearish 1 / neutral 4.5, net +0.13
- Bull:
- Failed breakdown (@TheProfInvestor)
- VIX smash (@Mr_Derivatives).
- Bear: Breadth damage (@markminervini).
- Neutral:
- SOX oversold vs 200-day (@KobeissiLetter)
- Record US equity fund inflows (@KobeissiLetter)
- @great_martis market update
- @thestockwhale promo (half weight).
Posts:
James’s own context (not from X): Monday’s check had QQQ 678.77, below 700 and the weekly 21 EMA of 704.49, so buys stay paused.
INTC
2 mentions, bearish 1 / neutral 1 (@markminervini down 58%; @pequityresearch video recommendation).
ASML, DDOG, CRWD, BE, CRDO: no new mentions.
BE theme: the permitting bill (@ren_stocks) touches data-center power and grid upgrades.
Other tickers and themes
Anthropic / AI software (about 15 mentions)
- Fable 5.2 #1 on AA-3D at 1271 Elo (@ArtificialAnlys AA-3D) and leads VIALS-AA
- @ChrisGPT says it was the third-biggest jump on the ECI frontier
- @kimmonismus calls it the best model he’s used but rate-limit hungry, and says Anthropic has a better internal model
- @babyfolio calls a lower Anthropic valuation sensible (“$2T was a stretch”) and expects retail to pay a premium on the IPO
- @kimmonismus hopes OpenAI answers today.
Optics
@aleabitoreddit posts CW laser ASPs from Source Photonics channel checks (about $3-4 at 70mW up to $15-20 for 120-150mW NPO) (@aleabitoreddit laser ASPs).
NET
- @TheProfInvestor’s top swing idea. HIMS: @TheLongInvest and @babyfolio like its latest move.
- TTD: Up 30% after hours then red (@Mr_Derivatives).
Risk management: @ParadisLabs says semis look attractive but urges less concentration.
Macro
- Iran “positive momentum” and oil below $85 (@KobeissiLetter)
- Record consumer credit of $5.19T (@KobeissiLetter)
- CPI without YoY numbers (@KobeissiLetter)
- Warren’s 10% credit-card cap push (@NoLimitGains)
- KOSPI +4.8% and bond vigilantes (@great_martis).
Method
- Original posts since the 4:50 PM report
- Net = (bull - bear) / total
- Promo accounts (@thestockwhale, @NoLimitGains) half weight
- Duplicate posts counted once.