Wednesday, Nov 11, 2026

Morning X digest — Wednesday, Nov 11, 2026

Published Wednesday, Nov 11, 2026, 5:12 AM ET

X content below is the authors' opinions, unverified.

X digest: Wed Nov 11, morning (~89 new original posts from 18 accounts, 4:00 PM Tue to 5:00 AM ET; all views are the authors’, unverified)

Overall: leaning risk-on (the authors’ read). CoreWeave’s earnings flipped the mood overnight after Tuesday’s hot-CPI selloff.

Top highlights

  • CRWV lifts futures:
    • @KobeissiLetter says CRWV is up 16%+ after beating and Nasdaq 100 futures are +1.5% (post).
    • @TheProfInvestor calls futures “absolutely bonkers” and wants a follow-through day (post).
    • @Mr_Derivatives says QQQ over $683 overnight implies an open above the 200-day, a “big resistance hurdle” (post).
  • Neocloud read-through to NBIS (reports Thursday):
    • CRWV says it has “10x as much qualified demand as available capacity,” and it raised prices 25% in July plus 10% later in Q3 (@aleabitoreddit).
    • Customers prepay 70-100% of the capex (@babyfolio · @pequityresearch).
    • @GavinSBaker says prepayments make OCF-to-EBITDA the key metric (post).
    • @babyfolio thinks NBIS will guide “way higher” than the analyst averages (post).
  • NVDA, mixed:
    • @Mr_Derivatives expects a bounce after 11 straight red or below-open days.
    • He notes a $172.70 overnight high and sees $175-180 possible (post · post).
    • On the other side, @pequityresearch flags Sen. Kevin Cramer calling for Huang to step down (post) and Yuanta’s forecast of NVDA unit share falling from 54% to 41% in 2027 (post).
    • Flow: $46M of $185 calls vs $50M of $140 puts (post).
  • Memory: BofA sees a memory super-cycle through 2028, with market revenue going from $0.97T to $1.47T to $1.58T (via @pequityresearch, post).
  • Anthropic IPO:
    • People are debating the Q4 guide (~$19.3B, about $77B annualized vs $81B of Oct ARR).
    • A Barclays roadshow call calls it conservative because of December time-off (@jukan05).
    • @zephyr_z9 expects a beat but says a $90-100B exit ARR is the bar (post).
    • @kimmonismus expects OpenAI’s GPT-6.2 “Astra” Thursday, timed ahead of a Nov 19 IPO (post).
  • Capex / optics:
    • J.P. Morgan sees hyperscaler capex at ~$2T in 2028 (@pequityresearch).
    • Bernstein sees NVIDIA’s optics market nearly doubling to $46.8B in 2028 (post).
    • Google reportedly ordered 12M NPO modules for TPU scale-up (post).
  • Power theme: AWS CEO Matt Garman says orbital data centers are “highly unlikely to be economically feasible” for a decade or two (@pequityresearch).

Agree / disagree

  • Most accounts agree CRWV was a strong sentiment turn for AI infra.
    • They split on whether it lasts.
    • @TheProfInvestor holds S&P 7450 as support and sees 7650 “very quickly” if the bottom is in (post).
    • Cautious voices: @Mr_Derivatives points to four big counter-rallies during the 2025 drawdown, @great_martis uses a 1970s stagflation framing (post), and @KobeissiLetter notes healthcare beat tech by 35.6 points over 6 months, the most in 25 years (post).
  • On NVDA, technical bounce calls are up against political and market-share worries.

Your holdings in brief:

  • NBIS net +0.86 (CRWV read-through)
  • NVDA +0.1 (from -0.08)
  • MU +0.67
  • AMD +1.0 (on @TheProfInvestor’s list of 10 names “refusing to break down,” with AMZN and SPCX)
  • GOOGL +0.5
  • AMZN +0.33
  • SPCX +0.5
  • QQQ +0.27
  • No new mentions of TSM, ASML, INTC, DDOG, CRWD, CRDO or BE.

  • Stock report:

    • NBIS/neoclouds have the strongest bullish lean, with CRWV’s demand, pricing and prepayment comments read through to Thursday’s NBIS report.
    • NVDA’s mentions are fewer and roughly balanced between bounce calls and political/share risk.
  • Full report: full sentiment report.

Pre-market brief — Wed Nov 11, 2026 (~8:40 AM ET)

Published Wednesday, Nov 11, 2026, 8:36 AM ET

Bottom line:

  • Big AI gap-up on CoreWeave’s beat, but nothing has been confirmed at a close yet.
  • No holding changed category.
  • QQQ buys stay PAUSED.

Categories (levels as of the 11/10 close; no changes vs 11/10)

  • Holding trend: AMZN 270.87, above all of your MAs (SMA50 254.18 / SMA200 244.24), RSI 61.6. PM 271.67 (+0.3%)
  • Pullback / buy zone:
    • CRWD 225.76, below EMA9/21/50, above wkEMA21 216.21 and SMA200 171.36.
    • PM 232.46 (+3.0%).
    • SPCX 143.09, sitting right on EMA21 143.14 and below wkEMA21 144.49.
    • PM 144.42 (+0.9%)
  • Character change (below SMA200): NVDA, TSM, ASML, DDOG, MRVL, BE, INTC, NBIS, GOOG, CRDO

Premarket: where the gap tests your levels (RH ~8:35 AM ET)

  • TSM 414.00 (+4.4%): above SMA200 402.07 and EMA21 410.13 in PM.
    • A close above 402 would be the first SMA200 reclaim.
    • The weekly 390 exit is still decided on Friday’s close.
  • ASML 1553 (+3.0%): back above 1500 but still below SMA200 1601.
  • NVDA 175.31 (+3.8%): bounce from RSI 23.9 (oversold) after a 3.1x-volume down day.
    • Still about 14% below SMA200 204.54 and below the Sep 14 low, so it’s a bounce inside a downtrend until proven otherwise.
  • NBIS 152.00 (+13.4%) on the CRWV read-through. Still well below SMA200 178.82. NBIS reports tomorrow (Nov 12).
  • MRVL 168.30 (+9.0%), BE 199.90 (+7.8%), CRDO 139.50 (+7.5%), INTC 61.58 (+5.9%): all still below SMA200.
  • GOOG 287.70 (+1.0%), DDOG 184.00 (+3.1%)

Market / watch

  • QQQ 674.76 close, PM 687.51 (+1.9%): above SMA200 681.42 in PM, but below 700 and wkEMA21 704.49.
    • Buy pause: weekly close 656.10 < wkEMA21 704.49 and last close 674.76 < 700 floor, so new buys stay PAUSED.
  • SMH PM 506.97 (+4.8%), still below SMA200 522.62.
    • MU PM 777.62 (+7.2%), above SMA200 760.07 in PM.
    • AMD PM 541.57 (+5.1%), back above EMA21 517.92 and EMA50 531.46 and testing SMA50 548.56.
    • MSFT 535 (flat).

Catalysts

  • CoreWeave Q3: revenue $3.66B vs $3.55B expected, 2026 guidance raised to $13.0–13.3B, backlog $133B (+138%), about $9B in prepayments expected over the next 3 months, no new parent-level unsecured debt through 2027, adjusted profit in 1H28.
    • CRWV is up 13–17% PM
    • NQ futures +1.6–2.0% (Reuters, Investing.com).
  • Rates: the bond market is closed for Veterans Day. Tuesday’s hot CPI and the Dec hike odds are still the overhang. PPI comes Friday.
  • Oil: Brent about $92 after two-month lows, as Hormuz shipping attacks continue (Yahoo Finance).
  • SPCX: SemiAnalysis reports a custom AI rack called “Kessel” (Yahoo Finance).

  • Housekeeping:

    • 7 Robinhood alerts have drifted, the same list as before.
    • The biggest gaps are MU > 973.72 vs live EMA21 848.14 and QQQ > 732.14 vs live EMA21 697.82.
  • Calculator note: SPCX SMA200 is n/a (only 105 sessions).

Levels: https://buffett-levels.pages.dev/levels