Pre-market brief — Wed Nov 11, 2026 (~8:40 AM ET)
Bottom line:
- Big AI gap-up on CoreWeave’s beat, but nothing has been confirmed at a close yet.
- No holding changed category.
- QQQ buys stay PAUSED.
Categories (levels as of the 11/10 close; no changes vs 11/10)
- Holding trend: AMZN 270.87, above all of your MAs (SMA50 254.18 / SMA200 244.24), RSI 61.6. PM 271.67 (+0.3%)
- Pullback / buy zone:
- CRWD 225.76, below EMA9/21/50, above wkEMA21 216.21 and SMA200 171.36.
- PM 232.46 (+3.0%).
- SPCX 143.09, sitting right on EMA21 143.14 and below wkEMA21 144.49.
- PM 144.42 (+0.9%)
- Character change (below SMA200): NVDA, TSM, ASML, DDOG, MRVL, BE, INTC, NBIS, GOOG, CRDO
Premarket: where the gap tests your levels (RH ~8:35 AM ET)
- TSM 414.00 (+4.4%): above SMA200 402.07 and EMA21 410.13 in PM.
- A close above 402 would be the first SMA200 reclaim.
- The weekly 390 exit is still decided on Friday’s close.
- ASML 1553 (+3.0%): back above 1500 but still below SMA200 1601.
- NVDA 175.31 (+3.8%): bounce from RSI 23.9 (oversold) after a 3.1x-volume down day.
- Still about 14% below SMA200 204.54 and below the Sep 14 low, so it’s a bounce inside a downtrend until proven otherwise.
- NBIS 152.00 (+13.4%) on the CRWV read-through. Still well below SMA200 178.82. NBIS reports tomorrow (Nov 12).
- MRVL 168.30 (+9.0%), BE 199.90 (+7.8%), CRDO 139.50 (+7.5%), INTC 61.58 (+5.9%): all still below SMA200.
- GOOG 287.70 (+1.0%), DDOG 184.00 (+3.1%)
Market / watch
- QQQ 674.76 close, PM 687.51 (+1.9%): above SMA200 681.42 in PM, but below 700 and wkEMA21 704.49.
- Buy pause: weekly close 656.10 < wkEMA21 704.49 and last close 674.76 < 700 floor, so new buys stay PAUSED.
- SMH PM 506.97 (+4.8%), still below SMA200 522.62.
- MU PM 777.62 (+7.2%), above SMA200 760.07 in PM.
- AMD PM 541.57 (+5.1%), back above EMA21 517.92 and EMA50 531.46 and testing SMA50 548.56.
- MSFT 535 (flat).
Catalysts
- CoreWeave Q3: revenue $3.66B vs $3.55B expected, 2026 guidance raised to $13.0–13.3B, backlog $133B (+138%), about $9B in prepayments expected over the next 3 months, no new parent-level unsecured debt through 2027, adjusted profit in 1H28.
- CRWV is up 13–17% PM
- NQ futures +1.6–2.0% (Reuters, Investing.com).
- Rates: the bond market is closed for Veterans Day. Tuesday’s hot CPI and the Dec hike odds are still the overhang. PPI comes Friday.
- Oil: Brent about $92 after two-month lows, as Hormuz shipping attacks continue (Yahoo Finance).
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SPCX: SemiAnalysis reports a custom AI rack called “Kessel” (Yahoo Finance).
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Housekeeping:
- 7 Robinhood alerts have drifted, the same list as before.
- The biggest gaps are MU > 973.72 vs live EMA21 848.14 and QQQ > 732.14 vs live EMA21 697.82.
- Calculator note: SPCX SMA200 is n/a (only 105 sessions).
Levels: https://buffett-levels.pages.dev/levels